Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.168874 0.192751 0.219348 0.251272 0.288674 0.331262 0.383641
2025-12-21 0.130685 0.162064 0.200546 0.251644 0.318355 0.403383 0.521384
2025-12-28 0.110486 0.145524 0.191640 0.257712 0.351484 0.482158 0.682266
2026-01-04 0.096067 0.132644 0.183551 0.261094 0.378947 0.555928 0.850847
2026-01-11 0.085505 0.122813 0.177238 0.264598 0.405520 0.631618 1.038298
2026-01-18 0.078098 0.116159 0.174058 0.271497 0.437484 0.720703 1.268423
2026-01-25 0.070852 0.108592 0.168127 0.272552 0.459255 0.795965 1.491861
2026-02-01 0.064599 0.101701 0.162164 0.272279 0.478093 0.868892 1.728976
2026-02-08 0.058887 0.094951 0.155462 0.269476 0.491399 0.933358 1.965248
2026-02-15 0.053882 0.088790 0.148948 0.265902 0.502310 0.994736 2.211278
2026-02-22 0.050984 0.085923 0.147819 0.272159 0.533716 1.105265 2.606432
2026-03-01 0.047030 0.080750 0.141879 0.268106 0.542760 1.168101 2.900448
2026-03-08 0.044114 0.077235 0.138754 0.269543 0.564590 1.266840 3.329216
2026-03-15 0.041293 0.073628 0.135070 0.269347 0.582886 1.361777 3.783784
2026-03-22 0.039477 0.071744 0.134531 0.275800 0.617978 1.508046 4.454031
2026-03-29 0.037541 0.069425 0.132845 0.279437 0.646894 1.645232 5.153791
2026-04-05 0.035792 0.067308 0.131328 0.283223 0.676932 1.793523 5.960687
2026-04-12 0.034508 0.066005 0.131375 0.290685 0.718171 1.986262 7.030978
2026-04-19 0.032807 0.063679 0.128961 0.291826 0.742405 2.133561 7.997054
2026-04-26 0.031138 0.061275 0.126126 0.291531 0.762597 2.273879 9.011961
2026-05-03 0.029409 0.058598 0.122415 0.288499 0.774284 2.389295 9.981131
2026-05-10 0.027766 0.055973 0.118574 0.284632 0.782835 2.496738 10.979107
2026-05-17 0.026943 0.055087 0.118694 0.291402 0.826000 2.744893 12.878537